sparr | Predictions and Preferences for 2021 (Reply)

A lot of things are changing in the world and my life right now. I’m making a lot of contingent plans based on a lot of predictions, and I figured I might share some of them with you. Maybe you’ll find them amusing, or they will inspire you to make plans, or they will inform your plans related to me. I’ll also be able to look back in a year and see what I got right or wrong. Here’s how I see the rest of my 2021 shaking out. Each category is in order of decreasing preference unless otherwise noted.

Residence
- 30% CoDwell (my 100-200 person coliving project plan)
  - 25% Laurelwood, Oregon, boarding school property
  - 5% Somewhere else
- 40% Hawaii
  - 30% Land co-buy with some friends and friends of friends
  - 10% Solo purchase of land, maybe house
- 20% Loophole (my previous ~10 person coliving project in SF)
- 10% ??
Employment
- 60% Google
- 10% ??
- 10% Self-employed
- 10% Cruise
- 10% Unemployed
Relationships (intimate+romantic)
- 70% Still involved with Victoria
- 10% A comet upgrades to local/full-time
- 20% Get re-involved with someone from the past
- 10% Get involved with someone new
Recreation / Hobby
- 50% Have regular convenient access to wood and metal shops
  - 10% Start a kinky equipment/furniture business
- 20% Find or start a regular recurring board game group
- 20% Become active in open source game development again
- 10% Pick up something entirely new (paramotor, scuba, ...)
Health (sorted by worry, most to least)
- 1% COVID+
- 5% Problems develop with the scar on my cornea
- 5% Another surgery on my right shoulder
Legal (sorted by expected gain/loss, worst to best)
- 10% I get sued over someone’s recreational injury
- 10% I file a civil suit for five figures worth of property damage from 2018
- 20% I file a small claims suit for four figures of bad mechanic work from 2020
- 80% My text message spam class action suit significantly progresses