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Estate of Mind

The Estate of Mind project is mostly wrapped up. We were struggling for a while, for lack of residents and money and engagement, but the structural fire plus the ensuing water damage to the manor was an irrecoverable final blow to our chances, and problematic residents provided the icing on that particularly painful cake. I tried to organize a plan to keep some people living here in the dorm and pine house under a new owner, but that didn't work out. As I write this, half of the residents have left, most of the ones remaining are in the process of moving out, and I'm between the beginning and middle of the ridiculously slow processes of evicting the last few.

I found some buyers who wanted to restore the manor, but they were unable to come up with investors or financing to get it done. I have accepted an offer from a buyer who intends to demolish the manor and build ~16 new houses on the property, each using historic elements preserved from the manor. The fireplaces, bar, stained glass windows, pipe organ, etc should all have a future here. This isn't the outcome I had hoped for, but it's better than I feared. If this offer goes through, I'll get enough money in August to satisfy my outstanding obligations and return donations that were made toward us repairing the house, and then more in 1-6 years as the new houses are sold. I intend to offer some shares of the proceeds to the people who tried to make this project a success, although the split nature of the payments means I'll have to get more creative with those offers than I've posted about previously. If this offer falls through, I'll be pursuing subdividing the property into three pieces (manor, dorm+house, forest), each of which will have a more obvious story and be a more straightforward business proposition to new owners, and I am confident I can sell at least two of those pieces in short order later this year.

Work

I am working for a startup that does online computer science classes for high schoolers, and some other markets adjacent to that. The day to day tasks are unfulfilling, but I love the mission and want to see this company succeed. If we are successful and the company grows, I hope I can dive deeper into my niche for more fulfilling projects as we hire more engineers.

They want me in an office in San Francisco or New York City (or maybe Los Angeles) most of the time. I followed through with my plans to drive to SF in March, but failed to relocate in April due to the fire and other problems back in MA. I'm overdue to meet their requirements, and this is motivating some of my current life choices. There's a chance their tolerance for the delays runs out before I can settle down, but hopefully not.

Summer and Autumn

It will take 2-6 more months to sell the property in MA, and probably that long to get at least mostly through the evictions. Once my own personal belongings are all off the property and all the bulky things have been disposed of, I can spend more time away from here. In the mean time, I'm spending most weekends in MA and most weekdays at the office in NYC, which is a bearable once-per-week commute from MA. I've been subletting or staying at a hostel, and may continue to do that, although I'm looking at some options measured in months instead of days. I'm also considering vehicle dwelling, although that seems less common in NYC than in other cities I've lived in. I'll stick to less permanent arrangements until things in MA are wrapped up.

I recently did a whirlwind tour of a few different events to see old friends, make new ones, do some social and project networking, lay some groundwork for moving and other future plans, etc. I have a few more similar plans later this summer. I intend to be in San Francisco before/after the weekends of July 19 and August 31 when I'll be at camping festivals a few hours north of the city. If you're going to either event, I'd love to hear from you and make plans to share logistics or a camp. If you'll be in the city, let's connect.

2025

In order of descending probability…

70% chance I'll be in San Francisco full time. As of right now SF has, by far, the largest and densest cluster of people I want to be around and who want to be around me. Work has an office here and the job market is strong if I need new work. All of my hobbies and communities have strong hubs here. I have multiple prospective romantic and intimate partners in that region, and it's the best environment I've found for seeking new such connections. I am familiar with the legal and real estate situations, as they bear on my future plans. This probability is going down as other probabilities go up, but so far it remains the clear leader.

20% chance I'll be in New York full time. I've always wanted to try living in NYC, but the timing was never right before. This chance was near zero until recently, but between new friends, discovering events and communities, exploring the city while working, and the potential to work in the city, it has rapidly increased. I expect it will continue to go up over the next couple of months, although it would probably take some outlying surprises (e.g. a new romantic partner or job) to fully tip the scales.

3% chance I'll be west of Portland Oregon. The boarding high school I pursued three years ago may be available again. Interest from friends and strangers in some version of that project has increased since I last pursued it, and I will be better equipped and experienced to make it happen this time around. I still dream of that property and the projects and events that could happen there.

2% chance I'll be in Puna, Hawaii. The property I pursued there with a dozen cabins and adjacent fresh laval flow may also be available again. As with the Oregon property, there's more interest and ability to make that project happen now than there was three years ago. I discovered last time that getting people to visit and move to Hawaii is significantly easier than almost any other remote location.

The remaining 5% is an assortment of unrelated possibilities that would take some exceptional changes in circumstances to bring about. Friends keep asking me to buy property together in Central America. I could end up with a partner who wants me to move overseas with them. I could be stuck in MA indefinitely if something goes very wrong with the property here. I could retire and backpack around Europe for a few months or years. I could find a dream property somewhere else in the US and manage to put together money and people to turn it into a project that I'm not already planning. I could …


Regardless of *where* I end up, there's also the question of what I'll be doing with my time and how I'll be living. Some of the locations and specific properties come with answers to that question, but it's mostly open. I might go back to vehicle dwelling, live a mobile life again for a while, explore and have fun. I might get an apartment or house, for just me or with a partner. I might join an existing coliving community; I might know a dozen who would accept me for at least a trial period, and there are hundreds more in my target locations that I could apply to. I might start a new coliving project again, something small or large. Or I might do something entirely unexpected. These possibilities will remain in flux probably until I commit to a location, and possibly for a while after. A lot of them depend on specific circumstances coming about, such as meeting the right people, or the right property being available, etc. Some of them could last for months, while others would hopefully last for years. I look forward to whichever way this works out.

Beyond

Given my history of moving mostly every 3-5 years as an adult, there's a decent chance that whatever I do in 2025 is what I'll be doing for a few years afterward as well. Alternately, if 2025 is something temporary, 2026 would even more likely be something that lasts at least a few years, and probably from a very similar list of possibilities. Of course, all of that can change as life throws surprises my way, so watch this space for wildly different plans if that comes to pass.



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As I am winding down my time in Hawaii I want to put my intentions for the next year out into the world. Writing them down to share might help keep me on track, or inspire collaboration or advice, or …

Hawaii - July and August 2021

Barring some unlikely last resort options bearing fruit soon, my efforts to buy property in Hawaii are winding down. Over the next two months I’ll be trying to sell most of the extra stuff I brought or bought down here (solar panels, tractor, van, car, furniture, etc) and packing to ship a much smaller load back to the mainland. I expect to hand off the lease of the house in Kona to one of a few friends who have visited and are coming back and want to stay here long term. If that goes well, I’ll have a place to crash here should I visit again in the future, alone or with friends.

Los Angeles - Late August 2021

I recently purchased a large tour bus / coach near Los Angeles. When I return from Hawaii to California I’ll need to quickly deal with the initial logistics of that purchase and the future plans for it. I expect to fly into LA, spend a couple of days doing a rough sparse conversion on the bus (remove most seats, install kitchenette and bed), then register the vehicle as a housecar / motorhome and upgrade my license from a noncommercial C to a noncommercial B with 45ft housecar endorsement. What I really want is a commercial A, so I can carry passengers for money, but that has a mandatory 14 day waiting period and some other logistical requirements that I can’t squeeze into this step of the plan so it can wait a bit longer. With that taken care of, I’ll probably pick up a few friends who want to carpool north and set out for the bay area.

Bay Area - September to December 2021

Work wants me to be in Mountain View three days a week (Tue/Wed/Thu) starting September 1. I also want this, because remote onboarding hasn’t been going well, and I’d like to rack up some face time with my colleagues. Separately, I want to experience and take advantage of all the perks of tech-y office life while I have the chance.

I will be living in my bus somewhere near Mountain View during the week so I have a short walk or bike to the office, and spending weekends elsewhere, mostly in the bay area, with remote work in the daytime on Monday and Friday. In the new bus I’ll be a lot more graffiti-avoidant than in my previous buses, so overnight parking options will be more constrained, but I still plan to spend most weekends somewhere more interesting than the peninsula.

This will also be the time in which I pursue doing a “fancy” conversion on the new bus. All of my previous conversions were more function than form, with a lot of exposed plywood and 2x4s, square corners, and standard household or garage furniture bolted into place. This time I am aiming for something more like a commercial RV or party bus, the sort of result you’d expect if you hired professionals to do a mid-five-figures conversion job. Rounded corners, custom built and fit benches and cabinets, visually appealing upholstery and decoration, etc. A comet from the east coast has expressed interest in collaborating on the interior design. A well informed friend has recommended Maker Nexus in Sunnyvale as a good makerspace that I might use for my fabrication projects. I’ll be doing a lot of metal work, welding, carpentry, woodwork, upholstering, electrical wiring and electronic gadgets, etc.

Festivals/etc - September to December 2021

While I have a normal day job mid-week, remote work for long weekends, and a bus to live and play in taking shape, I plan to get back into the habit of going to big events regularly. This conveniently mostly coincides with a lot of big events returning from year-or-longer hiatus periods. I’ll also be trying to get out for smaller scale activities, but that requires less planning months in advance. I’ll be filling in my calendar as I learn about more events, more events announce their schedules, and I coordinate with friends, but here’s a tentative list of stuff I’m 50%+ likely to attend:

September 3-6 not-Burning-Man in the Black Rock Desert north of Reno (not in the bus!)

October 10-18 http://everywhenproject.org/ in the Mojave desert north of Los Angeles

Nov 12-15 http://darkodyssey.com/surrender/ (NSFW) in San Francisco

2022

Right now, things get fuzzier past the end of the year. However, by the start of the new year I hope to have a pretty good idea of how I plan to finish it.

Work has committed to making it possible for us to work from different offices, and my department has a presence in Atlanta and Boston, so I have some vague ideas of finishing the round-the-country road trip that I put on indefinite hold when I landed in San Francisco. Along the way I’d be spending some months or longer in one of those places, where I’ve lived before and have contacts and community to reconnect with.

There’s also the possibility of transitioning to full time remote work and going on the road for a while, in a new town or park every few days or weeks like I did back in 2015.

Either way, I plan to be taking what I’ve recently learned about shopping for real estate and coordinating people and money, then turning that into something big. I have an idea to pick the CoDwell name and concept back up, or to do something more commercial and profitable (like a b&b or campground or retreat center) and top-down with more specific goals and plans (rather than leaving it up to the participants to plan around their passions).

Beyond that… who knows?

sparr: (Default)

A lot of things are changing in the world and my life right now. I’m making a lot of contingent plans based on a lot of predictions, and I figured I might share some of them with you. Maybe you’ll find them amusing, or they will inspire you to make plans, or they will inform your plans related to me. I’ll also be able to look back in a year and see what I got right or wrong. Here’s how I see the rest of my 2021 shaking out. Each category is in order of decreasing preference unless otherwise noted.


  • Residence

    • 30% CoDwell (my 100-200 person coliving project plan)

      • 25% Laurelwood, Oregon, boarding school property

      • 5% Somewhere else

    • 40% Hawaii

      • 30% Land co-buy with some friends and friends of friends

      • 10% Solo purchase of land, maybe house

    • 20% Loophole (my previous ~10 person coliving project in SF)

    • 10% ??

  • Employment

    • 60% Google

    • 10% ??

    • 10% Self-employed

    • 10% Cruise

    • 10% Unemployed

  • Relationships (intimate+romantic)

    • 70% Still involved with Victoria

    • 10% A comet upgrades to local/full-time

    • 20% Get re-involved with someone from the past

    • 10% Get involved with someone new

  • Recreation / Hobby

    • 50% Have regular convenient access to wood and metal shops

      • 10% Start a kinky equipment/furniture business

    • 20% Find or start a regular recurring board game group

    • 20% Become active in open source game development again

    • 10% Pick up something entirely new (paramotor, scuba, ...)

  • Health (sorted by worry, most to least)

    • 1% COVID+

    • 5% Problems develop with the scar on my cornea

    • 5% Another surgery on my right shoulder

  • Legal (sorted by expected gain/loss, worst to best)

    • 10% I get sued over someone’s recreational injury

    • 10% I file a civil suit for five figures worth of property damage from 2018

    • 20% I file a small claims suit for four figures of bad mechanic work from 2020

    • 80% My text message spam class action suit significantly progresses

sparr: (Default)
The world's population is booming. This is not necessarily a good thing. How many billions more people can the world support if we continue to find an infinite amount of petroleum from which to make fertilizer? How many billions fewer can it support if we don't? Different studies put these numbers at wildly varying levels, many of which have been disproved over the last century as we passed through previous predictions. Running out of food isn't something people like to think about, but regardless of when it happens, it will happen, and it would be prudent to make plans and procedures to keep it from happening or deal with it when it does.

Read more... )
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Since I was a child I've been designing this device in my head. Every year or two the bug hits and I look at what hardware would be required, and every time it gets theoretically cheaper and easier to build. Someone finally built it.

http://www.looxcie.com/

This is a wearable camcorder that is always recording on a short loop. When you press the record button it starts recording (or uploading, via a smartphone) from 30 seconds in the past.

See something awesome? Press the button.
See an accident? Press the button.
See a crime? Press the button.

I love living in the future.
sparr: (Default)
[livejournal.com profile] kdsorceress thinks I should write about my future. Not being gifted with any discernable sixth sense or prescience, this will all be speculation, or at best goals and hopes.

In my near future, before next summer...
Probably )

In the mid-term, 1-3 years from now...
Possibly )

In the long-term, 3-10 years[2] from now...
Maybe )

Beyond that, who knows. I think the world will have ended by then. If not, it will be unrecognizable to us today. Grey goo, neural computer interfaces, nuclear war, biological war, space colonisation, or one of a dozen other timeline-derailing scenarios will have come to pass, and I can only hope to be around to see the other side of whatever happens.

[1] Even if you are absolutely opposed to retirement savings, you can put in your $50/wk, plus their $50/wk, withdraw it all immediately, take the ~36% tax penalty, and come out with $64, $14 ahead of the guy who just ignores the opportunity and keeps his $50.

[2] Yes, 3-10 years is long term. I know as little about myself at age 35 today as I knew about myself today at age 20. Also, the singularity is approaching.

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Clarence "Sparr" Risher

February 2025

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